Pre-tourney Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#147
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#140
Pace70.8#94
Improvement+3.5#56

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#167
Improvement-0.8#204

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#133
Improvement+4.3#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 118   @ Arkansas L 63-83 30%     0 - 1 -13.2 -15.9 +5.3
  Nov 18, 2011 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-66 80%     1 - 1 -3.5 -6.3 +2.7
  Nov 19, 2011 197   Toledo L 70-75 63%     1 - 2 -6.9 -3.7 -3.3
  Nov 20, 2011 259   Texas St. W 82-74 76%     2 - 2 +2.2 +1.5 +0.3
  Nov 25, 2011 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-63 92%     3 - 2 +0.7 +3.6 -2.0
  Dec 01, 2011 211   Jacksonville St. W 50-48 76%     4 - 2 -3.9 -22.2 +18.4
  Dec 04, 2011 122   @ UNC Asheville L 81-88 31%     4 - 3 -0.5 +0.5 -0.3
  Dec 11, 2011 65   @ Dayton L 68-72 19%     4 - 4 +6.8 +5.1 +1.3
  Dec 14, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 58-82 3%     4 - 5 -0.6 -4.5 +4.2
  Dec 17, 2011 260   @ Stetson W 79-63 65%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +13.6 +5.1 +8.9
  Dec 19, 2011 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 80-75 45%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +7.7 +2.3 +5.2
  Dec 31, 2011 157   @ South Carolina L 66-72 40%     6 - 6 -1.8 +0.2 -2.5
  Jan 04, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 73-88 38%     6 - 7 2 - 1 -10.3 -5.0 -3.4
  Jan 07, 2012 314   Kennesaw St. W 68-53 93%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +0.2 -8.8 +10.3
  Jan 09, 2012 115   Mercer L 66-73 54%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -6.7 -3.1 -3.8
  Jan 14, 2012 190   @ North Florida W 69-62 49%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +8.8 +2.7 +6.8
  Jan 16, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville L 74-77 OT 62%     8 - 9 4 - 3 -4.6 +2.1 -6.8
  Jan 21, 2012 24   Belmont W 79-78 25%     9 - 9 5 - 3 +9.6 +5.9 +3.7
  Jan 23, 2012 216   Lipscomb W 61-52 77%     10 - 9 6 - 3 +2.6 -17.2 +19.4
  Jan 27, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. W 58-54 64%     11 - 9 7 - 3 +1.9 -14.1 +16.0
  Jan 30, 2012 211   @ Jacksonville St. W 82-77 52%     12 - 9 +5.9 +8.0 -2.3
  Feb 04, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 47-61 29%     12 - 10 7 - 4 -6.9 -21.3 +14.6
  Feb 06, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 70-58 81%     13 - 10 8 - 4 +4.0 +0.3 +5.3
  Feb 11, 2012 248   Jacksonville W 70-66 82%     14 - 10 9 - 4 -4.4 -4.5 +0.2
  Feb 13, 2012 190   North Florida W 77-52 73%     15 - 10 10 - 4 +20.0 +9.6 +13.3
  Feb 18, 2012 216   @ Lipscomb W 62-61 54%     16 - 10 11 - 4 +1.4 -6.4 +7.9
  Feb 20, 2012 24   @ Belmont L 79-88 10%     16 - 11 11 - 5 +6.4 -3.8 +11.8
  Feb 23, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 87-74 70%     17 - 11 12 - 5 +8.9 +10.7 -1.7
  Feb 25, 2012 260   Stetson W 90-72 84%     18 - 11 13 - 5 +8.8 +4.9 +2.7
  Mar 01, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast L 61-71 58%     18 - 12 -10.7 -17.2 +7.0
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%